Speculators Dominate Oil Futures
The headlines pretty much says it all, and the details are in a Washington Post story. Here are a few points to consider:
- At one time, commodity futures trading was limited to the big companies that used the goods to keep them from becoming another economic tool of wealth collection that would leave the public holding the bag of outrageously high prices.
- At one point in July, one comapny alone, Vitol, held 11 percent of all oil contracts on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). All that control could have cost as little as a billion in cash, with the rest borrowed.
- Financial firms speculating for themselves or clients account for 81 percent of all oil contracts on the NYMEX. Their holdings have risen from $13 billion in 2003 to $260 billion this year.
- The drive to end regulation, no matter what the reason for having it, has let companies create unregulated trading exchanges, meaning that no one knows what's going on and, should things fail, it would be like setting off a match in a powder keg. (That's my view, not the Post's.)
- Yet another new exchange is opening up - in Dubai - and US oil contracts will be traded without supervision.
Labels: oil, speculation

1 Comments:
Hi Erik,
This is Anna G. of Stanton Communications (& MorganFranklin). Just came across your blog and found this post to be especially relevant as oil prices continue their upward trajectory with Tropical Storm/Hurricane Gustav. It's unbelievably frustrating that speculators have such an affect on the price of oil, and I definitely feel it when I have to fill up my lovely SUV.
I wonder what the CFTC does and why their request for documents from Vitol was deemed "unusual." Shouldn't they be aware of this? I don't even want to know how high the price per barrel will go if Gustav becomes the monster it's predicted to be.
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