Coming U.S. Bank Failures?

The Financial Times is reporting that the U.S. comptroller of the currency John Dugan, who oversees about 1,700 national banks, said that banks failures will rise back for virtually none to at least historic rates, and could climb above that.

“That is a natural consequence of the economy going from historically exceptionally benign credit conditions to something that is more normal to something you would get in a downturn.”

Mr Dugan’s comments come as US banks report big spikes in reserves for expected losses on consumer and small business loans, reflecting the spread of the credit crisis from Wall Street to the broader economy.

As companies shove more money onto the shelf for reserves against expected losses, they have less money to invest, less money to pay off obligations, and less money to calm down panicked investors who suddenly want their cash back and who create a run on the bank. Can you say Bear Stearns?